Thursday, May 29, 2008

The Electoral Map

Hannity & Colmes rolled out a new feature on their show last night called "The Big Map". In the longest segment I've ever seen on their show (I think probably 10-12 minutes), they went painstakingly state by state, with Hannity chalking up the states in the McCain column and Colmes placing the pertinent states in Obama's ledger. They followed this by placing a number of states in the "Leaner" category, again with Hannity providing the names of the ones leaning McCain and Colmes giving us the ones Obama seems likely to win. They closed with a handful of tossups that are just too close to call. Their projection was that if the election were held today, Obama would garner 237 electoral votes, with 227 going to McCain. This left 77 electoral votes up for grabs.

It was all very interesting, but I like Bob Novak's map better. Not just because of the ultimate outcome, but because his analysis is more in-depth. Hannity & Colmes kidded each other about repeating verbatim all of the projections they had just provided, which of course, neither one could do without prompting from a cheat sheet. I will guarantee that Novak could recite from memory every piece of data on every state that he provides in his Political Report.

The man is a genius, but then again, he has been covering politics longer than Sean has been alive or if you prefer, since Alan was in the first grade.

Look at the map very closely. It sure seems as though we're headed for another cliffhanger election, and turnout will make the difference.

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